Weekly Market Insights | Goldilocks Returns; Market Ends Week “Just Right.”
Stocks roared back last week, fueled by upbeat Q4 corporate reports and economic news that stalled inflationary fears. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 2.91 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 2.45 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average led, picking up 3.69 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, added 2.00 percent.1,2 Goldilocks is BackThe “Goldilocks” narrative—an economy that’s neither too hot nor too cold—made a comeback last week. Tuesday’s Producer Price Index report showed that wholesale prices rose less than expected in December—one piece of evidence suggesting a cooling economy.3 Stocks jumped out of the gate Wednesday after the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed core inflation (minus volatile energy and food prices) rose less than expected. Investors also cheered Q4 reports from a handful of money center banks and positive news out of the Middle East.4 Stocks took a breather Thursday before pushing higher again on Friday.5 The S&P and Dow Industrials had their best week since early November, and the Nasdaq saw its best weekly performance since early December. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell roughly 20 basis points over the week.6,7 |
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Slowing InflationInvestors welcomed the inflation reports, believing wholesale and consumer prices might trend lower in 2025. First, producer prices came in at 0.2 percent, which was less than the 0.4 percent increase anticipated. Then consumer prices came in at 2.9 percent, slightly elevated, but the real story was core inflation. When you subtract out food and gas prices, CPI saw its smallest monthly increase since July.8 This Week: Key Economic DataMonday: Markets closed – MLK Jr holiday Wednesday: Treasury Buyback Announcement. 20-Year Treasury Bond Auction. Thursday: EIA Petroleum Status Report. Weekly Jobless Claims. Fed Balance Sheet. Friday: Existing Home Sales. Consumer Sentiment. Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; January 17, 2025 This Week: Companies Reporting EarningsTuesday: Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), 3M Company (MMM), Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) Wednesday: The Proctor & Gamble Company (PG), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), The Progressive Corporation (PGR), GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Thursday: Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG), GE Aerospace (GE), Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV) Friday: American Express Company (AXP), Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ), NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE), HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) Source: Zacks, January 17, 2025. Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice. |
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“Silence is like starvation.” – Cherrie L. Moraga |
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Beware of Phishing ScamsA phishing scam occurs when someone pretends to be a trusted source, such as a bank, tax preparer, or credit card company, to access your personal information. If you believe you may be part of a phishing scam, here are some recommendations from the IRS:
This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional. Tip adapted from IRS9 |
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What’s the Deal With Downward Dog?Even if you’ve never set foot on a yoga mat, you’ve probably heard of one of the most popular poses called Downward Dog. The pose is popular because it has many benefits, such as increased flexibility and spinal strength. In yoga, it’s a resting posture to let your muscles lengthen and straighten. It can help stretch your back, neck, hamstrings, and calves. You can sit in the pose without moving (a static hold) or “walk the dog,” which includes pushing your heels toward the ground to stretch out your calves. If you’re new to downward dog, practice proper form by bending your knees and focusing on lengthening your back and arms. Ideally, your body should be in an inverted “V” shape. Eventually, you may straighten your legs and have your heels touch the floor! Tip adapted from Ekhart Yoga10 |
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You can make it and read about it today; many classes are taught in it, but it is not part of the future. What is it? Dave is at the hardware store to buy something for his house. Yesterday, he bought 1 for $1. The week before, he purchased 10 for $2, and his friend bought 100 for $3. Today, he bought 907 for $3. If the prices haven’t changed, how is this possible? Answer: Dave and his friend have been buying house numbers. 907 is $3 because it costs $1 per numeral. |
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Dolomite Mountains at Sunset Dolomitic Alps, northeastern Italy |
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Footnotes and Sources1. The Wall Street Journal, January 17, 2025 2. Investing.com, January 17, 2025 3. CNBC.com, January 14, 2025 4. The Wall Street Journal, January 15, 2025 5. CNBC.com, January 17, 2025 6. MarketWatch.com, January 17, 2025 7. CNBC.com, January 17, 2025 8. The Wall Street Journal, January 15, 2025 9. IRS.gov, July 29, 2024 10. Ekhart Yoga, October 3, 2024 |
Weekly Market Insights | Investors Read Inflation Risk in Job Numbers
Stocks fell for the second consecutive week as a round of fresh economic data stoked inflationary fears among investors. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 1.94 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 2.34 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.86 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, slipped 0.49 percent.1,2 Inflation Stymies MarketsStocks rallied broadly to start the week, but two economic reports on Tuesday—job openings and the prices-paid index among service companies—raised fresh inflation concerns. Higher Treasury yields also put pressure on stocks.3,4 Stocks flattened out on Wednesday. Investors reacted to news that most Federal Open Market Committee members agreed inflation risks had increased, per minutes from the Fed’s December meeting.5,6 U.S. stock markets were closed Thursday in observance of President Jimmy Carter’s funeral. On Friday, a warmer-than-expected December jobs report caused investors to question whether the Fed will adjust rates in 2025. News that consumer sentiment ticked down also pushed stocks lower.7 |
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When Good Becomes Bad NewsThe economy added 256,000 jobs in December—100,000 more than economists expected. That’s the second-highest monthly job gain for 2024. Unemployment ticked down to 4.1 percent, which was also better than anticipated. Job growth and lower unemployment signals good news for the economy but bad news for the markets. A stronger jobs market puts less pressure on the Fed to adjust rates, especially with inflation top-of-mind among investors.8,9 This Week: Key Economic DataMonday: Treasury Statement. Tuesday: Producer Price Index. Fed officials Jeffrey Schmid and John Williams speak. Wednesday: Consumer Price Index. Fed officials Thomas Barkin, Neel Kashkari, John Williams, and Austan Goolsbee speak. Fed Beige Book. Thursday: Retail Sales. Import and Export Prices. Business Inventories. Homebuilder Confidence Index. Friday: Housing Starts and Permits. Industrial Production. Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; January 9, 2025 This Week: Companies Reporting EarningsWednesday: JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), BlackRock, Inc. (BLK), Citigroup Inc. (C), The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) Thursday: UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH), Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Morgan Stanley (MS) Source: Zacks, January 9, 2025. Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice. |
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“The very least you can do in your life is to figure out what you hope for. And the most you can do is live inside that hope. Not admire it from a distance but live right in it, under its roof.” – Barbara Kingsolver |
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Self-Employed Tax ObligationsThere are a few tax considerations to consider when you work for yourself. Generally, you’re required to file and pay estimated taxes during the year.
This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional. Tip adapted from IRS10 |
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Restorative Yoga: Long and Easy StretchingWhether you have been curious about yoga but have never tried it, or if you’re a seasoned yogi looking for something new, restorative yoga has something for everyone. This gentle yoga uses props like blocks, blankets, and straps. Stretches and poses are held for a longer time, yielding many benefits. Here are a few ways that restorative yoga can be beneficial for many people:
Check your local yoga studios or gyms to enroll in a restorative yoga class. If you can’t find one, there are online yoga courses you can try. It might be a stretch worth taking (ask your doctor if yoga might be right for you). Tip adapted from Mindbodygreen.com11 |
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Dave is at the hardware store to buy something for his house. Yesterday, he bought 1 for $1. The week before, he purchased 10 for $2, and his friend bought 100 for $3. Today, he bought 907 for $3. If the prices haven’t changed, how is this possible? Last week’s riddle: David put on a white shirt with three large holes in it and went to the grocery store. No one gave him a funny look; no one objected to it. What kind of shirt was David wearing? Answer: A white t-shirt (the holes were the collar and sleeves of the shirt) |
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Surprise Glacier Prince William Sound, Alaska |
Footnotes and Sources
1. The Wall Street Journal, January 10, 2025
2. Investing.com, January 10, 2025
3. CNBC.com, January 6, 2025
4. The Wall Street Journal, January 7, 2025
5. CNBC.com, January 8, 2025
6. MarketWatch.com, January 8, 2025
7. CNBC.com, January 10, 2025
8. The Wall Street Journal, January 10, 2025
9. TradingEconomics.com, January 10, 2025
10. IRS.gov, September 30, 2024
11. Mindbodygreen.com, October 3, 2024
Weekly Market Insights | Stocks Decline Slightly as New Year Dawns
Stocks edged lower last week despite a powerful end-of-week rally. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.48 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index slid 0.51 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.60 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, dropped 0.90 percent.1,2 Selling Then BuyingStocks were under pressure right out of the gate on Monday for no apparent reason other than worries over the loss of year-end momentum. By the end of trading on Monday, markets recovered some losses, but the selling picked up again on Tuesday.3,4 After being closed for the New Year’s holiday, stocks opened higher for the first trading day of 2025. But sellers gained the upper hand by the end of trading. On Friday, Investors perked up with tech stocks leading a recovery rally that erased most of the week’s losses.5,6 |
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Megacap’s Mega InfluenceMegacap tech stocks have captured many headlines over the last two years as the S&P 500 posted double-digit returns (24 percent for 2023 and 23 percent for 2024). And for a good reason—megacap tech stocks were doing most of the work. For example, during the past 12 months of trading, more than half (53 percent) of the S&P 500’s return can be attributed to the Magnificent Seven–the seven megacap tech companies that most investors would consider household names.7 This Week: Key Economic DataMonday: Fed Official Lisa Cook speaks. Factory Orders. Tuesday: Fed Official Thomas Barkin speaks. International Trade in Goods and Services. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes released. ADP Employment Report. Fed Official Christopher Waller speaks. Thursday: Stock market closed for President Carter’s state funeral. Friday: Employment Situation. Consumer Sentiment. Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; January 3, 2025 This Week: Companies Reporting EarningsWednesday: Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Thursday: Infosys (INFY), Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) Friday: Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), BlackRock, Inc. (BLK), Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) Source: Zacks, January 3, 2025. Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice. |
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“The biggest disease today is not leprosy or tuberculosis, but rather the feeling of being unwanted.” – Mother Teresa |
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Tips for Good RecordkeepingWhen you file your tax return, the first step is to prepare your records. Good recordkeeping throughout the year can make filing your taxes easier. Here are some recordkeeping tips:
This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional. Tip adapted from IRS8 |
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How to Drink More Water Throughout the DayDrinking enough water is essential to keep you feeling your best. While there aren’t any strict rules on exactly how much water you should drink, you should listen to your body to ensure you’re getting enough. Here are some tips on how to drink more water throughout the day:
Tip adapted from Healthline9 |
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David put on a white shirt with three large holes in it and went to the grocery store. No one gave him a funny look; no one objected to it. What kind of shirt was David wearing? Last week’s riddle: Throughout Friday, Hanna asks her mother the same four-word question. On each occasion, her mother gives her a different answer. What is the question? |
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Surfing Pulau Panaitan Jakarta, Banten, Indonesia |
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Footnotes and Sources1. The Wall Street Journal, January 3, 2025 2. Investing.com, January 3, 2025 3. CNBC.com, December 30, 2024 4. The Wall Street Journal, December 31, 2024 5. CNBC.com, January 2, 2025 6. CNBC.com, January 3, 2025 7. The Wall Street Journal, December 31, 2024 8. IRS.gov, October 2, 2024 9. Healthline, October 3, 2024 |
Weekly Market Insights | Holiday Spending Up
Stocks notched a slight gain over the holiday week. A tech-driven rally in the first half of the week was clawed back in the second half as investors took profits following the market holiday. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index advanced 0.67 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.76 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.35 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, rose 1.54 percent.1,2 Ho-Ho, Then No-GoStocks rallied during the first half of a shortened holiday trading week. Holiday cheer won out despite news of declining consumer confidence in December, a drop in durable goods, and new home sales reporting below expectations.3,4 The “Santa rally” lost its ho-ho-go after the midweek holiday. Megacap technology stocks led markets down on Friday, giving back most of the gains from the first half of the week.4,5 |
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The Real SantaWhile Santa got the headlines, the consumer drove the holiday shopping sleigh this year. Holiday spending—defined by the period from November 1 through December 24—rose 3.8 percent in 2024, compared with 3.1 percent in 2023. Economists closely follow consumer activity since consumer spending makes up roughly two-thirds of total gross domestic product. Market watchers attributed the strong job market and growth in household wealth as the primary drivers of consumer strength.6 This Week: Key Economic DataMonday: Pending Home Sales. 3-Month Treasury Bill Auction. Tuesday: Case-Shiller Home Price Index. Wednesday: Stock market closed. Thursday: Jobless Claims. EIA Petroleum Status Report. Fed Balance Sheet. 30-Year Treasury Bond Announcement. Friday: Motor Vehicle Sales. ISM Manufacturing Index. Federal Reserve Officials Thomas Barkin and Mary Daly speak. Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; December 27, 2024 This Week: Companies Reporting EarningsFriday: The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX) Source: Zacks, December 27, 2024. Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice. |
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“The strongest of all warriors are these two — Time and Patience.” – Leo Tolstoy |
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Do You Have to Pay Taxes on Your Hobby?Whether you picked up embroidering, dog grooming, or making jewelry, a side hobby may or may not require paying taxes. Does your kids’ lemonade stand need to pay taxes? Probably not but if you’re doing something like selling cookies out of your kitchen, you might need to check out the rules. Here are some things to consider when determining whether your activity is a hobby or business:
If you receive income from your hobby with no intention of making a profit, you may have to report the income to the IRS. This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional. Tip adapted from IRS7 |
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How Well Do You Know Your Sunburn Protection Factor?We all know that protecting your skin from the sun is important, but did you know that not all sunscreens are made equal? Dermatologists have some specific recommendations when it comes to your Sunburn Protection Factor (SPF). Here are some tips:
These tips will help you choose the best sunscreen to protect your skin for years. Tip adapted from American Academy of Dermatology8 |
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Throughout Friday, Hanna asks her mother the same four-word question. On each occasion, her mother gives her a different answer. What is the question? Last week’s riddle: It softly goes up and down the stairs in many homes and office buildings, yet it never moves. What could it be? |
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Delicate Arch Arches National Park, Utah, USA |
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Footnotes and Sources1. The Wall Street Journal, December 27, 2024 2. Investing.com, December 27, 2024 3. MarketWatch.com, December 23, 2024 4. CNBC.com, December 26, 2024 5. The Wall Street Journal, December 27, 2024 6. MarketWatch.com, December 26, 2024 7. IRS.gov, March 18, 2024 8. American Academy of Dermatology, August 1, 2024 |
Weekly Market Insights | Powell Signal Leaves Investors Cold
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