Weekly Market Insights: Sixth Week of Gains on Wall Street

Stocks posted modest gains last week, with quarterly earnings season in full swing and the election on the horizon.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 0.85 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.80 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 0.96 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, fell 0.31 percent.1,2

Six in a Row

Stocks bolted out of the gate as the week began. The S&P 500 and the Dow Industrials hit record highs, with the Dow crossing 43,000 for the first time.3

Midweek, news of stronger-than-expected retail sales report contributed to overall market momentum. Retail sales rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4 percent in September, topping economists forecasts.4

As the week wrapped up, the technology sector helped fuel a rally that pushed the S&P and Nasdaq to another record high. It was the sixth straight week of gains for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Industrials.5

Insight from Corporate Reports

There were many market forces pushing each other around last week.

Corporate earnings reports drove much of the market action. Some of the most extensive financial stocks surprised on the upside, supporting a narrative that the economy remains strong. 

At the same time, a corporate report from one of the world’s largest chip manufacturing contractors revealed continued strong global demand for AI microchips. However, increasing investor anxiety was a constant undertow in trading as the November elections drew nearer.6

This Week: Key Economic Data

Monday: Fed Officials Lori Logan, Neel Kashkari, and Jeffrey Schmid speak.

Tuesday: Fed Official Patrick Harker speaks.

Wednesday: Existing Home Sales. Beige Book. Fed Officials Michelle Bowman and Thomas Barkin speak.

Thursday: New Home Sales. Weekly Jobless Claims. Fed Official Beth Hammack speaks.

Friday: Durable Goods. Consumer Sentiment.

Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; October 18, 2024
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: GE Aerospace (GE), Philip Morris International Inc. (PM), Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ), Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN), RTX Corporation (RTX), Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT), Fiserv, Inc. (FI)

Wednesday: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), The CocaCola Company (KO), T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS), Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO), International Business Machines Corporation (IBM), ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW), AT&T Inc. (T), Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX), The Boeing Company (BA)

Thursday: Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), S&P Global Inc. (SPGI), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Source: Zacks, October 18, 2024
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

“Never be limited by other people’s limited imaginations.”

– Mae Jemison

Tax Incentives Can Help You Further Your Education

Tax credits help with the cost of higher education by managing the income tax you may need to pay. The two tax credits available are the American Opportunity Tax Credit and the Lifetime Learning Credit.

Some education savings plans offer tax benefits if the individual qualifies. Also, you may be able to deduct higher education costs – such as tuition, student loan interest, and qualified education expenses – from your tax return.

Knowing your potential tax benefits may save you money if you’ve always dreamed about returning to school, whether to further your career or just learn something new. 

This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.

Tip adapted from IRS7

The Benefits of Brain Training

We know how important it is to exercise our bodies, but exercising our brains is just as important. When we continue to learn, our brains are better for it. Here are just a few benefits of “brain training,” or exercising your brain:

  • Improved executive functions
  • Improved working memory
  • Improved processing speed
  • Preserved cognitive health
  • Fewer problems with daily functioning
  • Better control over mental processing abilities

There are many fun ways to exercise your brain, one of which is to continue learning new things. Attend a pottery, painting, or foreign language class in your neighborhood, or check for discounts on community college courses. Another great way to exercise your brain is to socialize with others, spend time in nature, and practice mind puzzles, such as crosswords, Sudoku, or a game in a brain-training app.

Tip adapted from American Psychological Association8

How could Gail drive her car from Cleveland to Miami with a flat tire?

Last week’s riddle: If six pheasants are in a stand of cattails, and a hunter shoots one of them, how many will remain amid the cattails?
Answer: None, because the rest of the pheasants will fly away when they hear the shot.

Two lions (Panthera leo) resting high up in a tree

Moremi Game Reserve, Okavango Delta, Botswana

 

Footnotes and Sources

1. The Wall Street Journal, October 18, 2024

2. Investing.com, October 18, 2024

3. CNBC.com, October 15, 2024

4. The Wall Street Journal, October 17, 2024

5. The Wall Street Journal, October 18, 2024

6. The Wall Street Journal, October 18, 2024

7. IRS.gov, July 3, 2024

8. American Psychological Association, July 24, 2024

Weekly Market Insights: Mixed Data Leaves Investors Anxious

Stocks advanced last week despite mixed inflation data, lurching oil prices, and lingering anxiety about the Middle East.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 1.11 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.13 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average picked up 1.21 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, added 0.23 percent.1,2

Up And Down Week

Stocks slipped on Monday as oil continued to rise but moved higher on Tuesday as the technology sector showed the way. Oil prices fell back as investors took a wait-and-see stance concerning Middle East tensions.3

The S&P 500 and Dow Industrials hit fresh record highs on Wednesday but dipped Thursday morning after the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showed inflation was warmer than expected.4,5

Earnings season kicked off Friday, and update reports from a few money center banks injected some enthusiasm into markets. Also, the Producer Price Index (PPI) report showed wholesale prices stayed flat last month, a welcomed update for investors. All three averages closed higher for the fifth consecutive week.6

Inflation Moves Markets

Despite news that showed retail inflation continued to decelerate in September, anxious investors focused on the fact that CPI came in slightly warmer than economists expected for September. Meanwhile, Friday’s PPI reading came in slightly better than economists expected, adding a layer of complexity for the Fed as it evaluates the inflation story.7,8

This Week: Key Economic Data

Monday: Fed Official Christopher Waller speaks.

Tuesday: Fed Official Adriana Kugler speaks.

Wednesday: Import and Export Prices. API Weekly Oil Stocks.

Thursday: Retail Sales. Industrial Production. EIA Petroleum Status Report. Weekly Jobless Claims. Fed Official Austan Goolsbee speaks.

Friday: Housing Starts and Permits.

Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; October 9, 2024
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UHN), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Bank of America Corporation (BAC), The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS), Citigroup Inc.©

Wednesday: Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Prologis, Inc. (PLD)

Thursday: Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), Morgan Stanley (MS), Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG), Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV), Marsh & McLennon Companies, Inc. (MMC), The Blackstone Group (BX)

Friday: The Proctor & Gamble Company (PG), American Express Company (AXP)

Source: Zacks, October 9, 2024
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

“Avoid having your ego so close to your position that when your position falls, your ego goes with it.”

– Colin Powell

Passport Power

Did you know that the IRS can revoke your passport if you owe the Internal Revenue Service $62,000 or more? That’s right; the IRS can revoke the passports of any taxpayer owing $62,000 or more, including penalties and interest.

Notably, if you’re currently paying off the debt or are contesting a tax bill in court, you should not be affected. However, anyone under an IRS tax lien could find their ability to travel hampered.

Contact a qualified attorney or tax specialist with questions about tax debts or other complex tax issues.

This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.

Tip adapted from IRS9

Eat The Rainbow, Reap The Rainbow

Every food has health benefits, and colors can help you determine which health benefits you enjoy. Here’s a quick summary of some of the benefits associated with these colored foods:

  • Red foods contain lycopene, a powerful antioxidant that can help reduce cancer risk and keep our hearts healthy.
  • Orange/yellow foods contain lots of carotenoids, which help maintain healthy mucous membranes and eyes/vision (possibly preventing cataracts and blindness).
  • Green foods contain various compounds that have anti-cancer properties. They’re also an excellent source of folate.
  • Blue and purple foods contain antioxidants called anthocyanins, which can help protect cells from damage and may reduce the risk of cancer, stroke, and heart disease.
  • White foods are known for their antiviral and antibacterial properties, and some (like bananas) are a good source of potassium.

Tip adapted from healthline.com10

If six pheasants are in a stand of cattails, and a hunter shoots one of them, how many will remain amid the cattails?

Last week’s riddle: I have rough skin and sometimes more than two eyes, but I can be tasty when prepared plainly and simply. Just what am I? Answer: A potato.

Bald Eagles Prepare Nest – Haliaeetus leucocephalus

Kenansville, Florida, United States

 

Footnotes and Sources

1. The Wall Street Journal, October 11, 2024

2. Investing.com, October 11, 2024

3. CNBC.com, October 8, 2024

4. MarketWatch.com, October 9, 2024

5. The Wall Street Journal, October 10, 2024

6. The Wall Street Journal, October 10, 2024

7. The Wall Street Journal, October 11, 2024

8. MarketWatch.com, October 11, 2024

9. IRS.gov, June 12, 2024

10. healthline.com, July 24, 2024

Weekly Market Insights: Market Rallies But Ends Week Flat

Stocks were essentially unchanged last week as geopolitical tensions added some volatility to an otherwise quiet trading week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat (+0.09 percent), while the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index ticked up 0.22 percent. The Nasdaq Composite also was flat (+0.10 percent). The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, was a bit more unsettled by the geopolitical events, dropping 3.74 percent.1,2

Stocks Flat, Oil Spikes

Stocks posted modest gains on Monday, encouraged by upbeat comments in a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. However, the modest gains pushed the S&P 500 and Dow to fresh records.3

As Middle East tensions escalated on the first day of October, stocks fell, bond yields rose, and oil prices rose as the news unfolded.4

On Wednesday, all three averages were flat. An ADP report showed higher-than-expected private sector job growth—a metric investors focus on. Oil prices continued to rise as investors watched the developments in the Middle East.5,6

Then, on Friday, stocks rallied after the Labor Department’s September jobs report topped expectations.7

Jobs Out Front

The Labor Department’s jobs report gave investors some much-welcomed insights into the jobs market. At its September meeting, the Fed indicated it was watching the jobs market as closely as inflation, so updates on the jobs market are now considered as important as inflation reports.8

The report showed employers added 254,000 jobs, about 100,000 more than economists expected. It also showed that unemployment ticked down to 4.1 percent last month.9

This Week: Key Economic Data

Monday: Fed Officials Neel Kashkari, Raphael Bostic, and Alberto Musalem speak. Consumer Credit.

Tuesday: International Trade in Goods & Services. Fed Officials Raphael Bostic and Susan Collins speak.

Wednesday: FOMC Minutes. EIA Petroleum Status Report. Fed Officials Raphael Bostic, Lori Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Thomas Barkin, Susan Collins and Mary Daly speak.

Thursday: Consumer Price Index. Weekly Jobless Claims. Fed Balance Sheet. Fed Official John Williams speaks.

Friday: Producer Price Index. Consumer Sentiment. Fed Officials Austan Goolsbee, Lori Logan, and Michelle Bowman speak.

Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; October 4, 2024
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)

Thursday: Infosys / American Noble Gas Inc. (INFY), Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)

Friday: JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), The Progressive Corporation (PGR), BlackRock, Inc. (BLK), The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK)

Source: Zacks, October 4, 2024
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

“You can’t judge right from looking at what’s wrong.”

– Bo Diddley

Protect Your Financial Safety in Case of a Natural Disaster

No matter where you live, you should be aware of possible natural disasters in your area and plan accordingly by considering the following tax tips:

  • Update your emergency plan.

  • Create electronic copies of all important documents.
  • Document your valuables. Documenting ahead of time makes it easier to claim insurance and tax benefits if a disaster strikes.
  • You can call the IRS at 866-562-5227 with any natural disaster-related questions. The agency can provide copies of previous tax returns, order transcripts showing most line items, and more.
  • Net personal, casualty, and theft losses may be deductible if attributable to a federally declared disaster.


This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.

Tip adapted from IRS10

The Scale Isn’t Everything: More-Comprehensive Ways to Measure Your Health

Put the scale away for a little while and try these techniques to focus on your overall health rather than just a number:

  • Keep a journal and track your healthy habits, such as working out or eating veggies with every meal. Celebrate these small victories!

  • Take progress photos and compare them throughout your journey. Take your pictures in the same pose, wearing the same outfit, at the same time every week (preferably in the morning before you’ve had breakfast).
  • Check on other aspects of your health, such as your energy levels, skin, and tummy health. Developing a healthy routine does much more for your body than just lowering the number on the scale.

These are just a few ways to check in with yourself on your fitness and wellness journey without the scale.

Tip adapted from Daily Burn11

I have rough skin and sometimes more than two eyes, but I can be tasty when prepared plainly and simply. Just what am I?

Last week’s riddle: What invention permits you to peer through any wall?
Answer: A window.

Hot springs, Dallol, Danakil Depression, Afar Region

Ethiopia, Africa

 

Footnotes and Sources

1. The Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2024

2. Investing.com, October 4, 2024

3. CNBC.com, September 30, 2024

4. The Wall Street Journal, October 1, 2024

5. The Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2024

6. The Financial Times, October 3, 2024

7. The Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2024

8. The Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2024

9.  The Wall Street Journal, October 4, 2024

10. IRS.gov, July 24, 2024

11. Daily Burn, July 24, 2024

Weekly Market Insights: Rate Cut Momentum; D.C. Averts Shutdown

Stocks moved higher last week, continuing to build on the momentum generated after the Federal Reserve decided to cut short-term rates by 0.50 percent.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 0.59 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.95 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.62 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, gained an eye-catching 3.53 percent.1,2

Congress Passes Spending Bill

Stocks started the week tepidly but in the green, as investors mostly shrugged off Tuesday’s weak consumer confidence report. Then, at midweek, markets put on the brakes as investors appeared to take profits after a four-day winning streak.3,4

On Thursday, markets rallied on news that the final Q2 gross domestic product estimate showed the economy increased at an annual rate of 3.0 percent. Then Friday, the PCE, or Personal Consumption and Expenditures Index, showed inflation had cooled slightly more than expected in August, which some believe may influence the Fed’s decisions on short-term rates at its November meeting.5

Finally, a continuing resolution was passed by both houses of Congress last week and signed by President Biden Friday morning, assuaging concerns over a government shutdown. The resolution funds the government until December 20.6

 
 

China’s Stimulus Package

This week, the head-turning performance came from outside the U.S.

As measured by the MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, and Far East) Index, international stocks rose more than 3 percent following news of China’s stimulus package, which could be as much as 2 trillion yuan, or $284 billion. China’s program also cut banks’ reserve requirements and lowered a key short-term interest rate. 

While the EAFE Index doesn’t track stocks from Mainland China, the stimulus package had far-reaching implications for other countries.7,8

This Week: Key Economic Data

Monday: Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks. Fed Official Michelle Bowman speaks.

Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing Index. Construction Spending. Fed Official Raphael Bostic speaks.

Wednesday: ADP Employment Report. Motor Vehicle Sales. Fed Officials Beth Hammack, Alberto Musalem, Michelle Bowman, and Thomas Barkin speak.

Thursday: Jobless Claims. Factory Orders. ISM Services Index. 10-Year Treasury Note announcement. Fed Officials Raphael Bostic and Neel Kashkari speak.

Friday: Employment Situation. Fed Official John Williams speaks.

Source: Investors Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; September 27, 2024
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings

Tuesday: NIKE, Inc. (NKE), Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)

Thursday: Constellation Brands Inc (STZ)

Source: Zacks, September 27, 2024
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

“The emblem of a philosophy is not that it contains a set of specific thoughts, but that it generates a way of thinking.”

– Samuel R. Delany

Selling Your Car or Buying From a Private Seller?
Here Are the Tax Tips You Should Know

If you’re selling your car for less than what you paid, you likely won’t need to pay any sales tax because the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) considers selling a used car for less than what you paid a capital loss. However, if you’re selling your car for more than what you paid (like if it’s a classic car you’ve restored and it’s increased in value), you may need to pay sales tax.

If you’re buying a car from a private seller, you may need to pay sales tax, but this sales tax doesn’t go to the seller – it goes to the Department of Motor Vehicles and is part of your car’s registration.

This information is not a substitute for individualized tax advice. Please discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.

Tip adapted from CarGurus9

Stretches to Complement Your Workout

Here are some great stretches that will open up your hips, stretch out your hamstrings, and give your quads some love after a long run or lifting session:

  • Hamstring Stretch – Lay on the ground with your legs straight up. Gently pull one leg toward you until you feel pressure. Repeat with the other leg.
  • Figure Four – Sit on the ground with your legs bent and knees up. Gently rest one ankle on the quad of the opposite leg. If this is too much, straighten one leg on the floor and rest your ankle on your thigh while it’s on the ground.
  • Child’s Pose – This everyday yoga movement can also be a great stretch. Hold the regular child’s pose with your knees about hip-width apart, or intensify the stretch by bringing your knees out wider.

Tip adapted from Runner’s World10

What invention permits you to peer through any wall?

Last week’s riddle: 8549176320 is a large number and unique for two reasons. First, it presents all numerical digits from 0 to 9 without repeating; what is the other reason?
Answer: When the ten numerals are spelled out and expressed as words, the words are in alphabetical order from start to finish (eight, five, four, nine, one, etc.)

 

Beijing National Stadium

Chaoyang, Beijing, China

 

Footnotes and Sources

1. The Wall Street Journal, September 27, 2024

2. Investing.com, September 27, 2024

3. CNBC.com, September 24, 2024

4. CNBC.com, September 25, 2024

5. BEA.gov, September 26, 2024

6. The Wall Street Journal, September 22, 2024 OR
The Hill, September 25, 2024

7. The Wall Street Journal, September 27, 2024

8. The Wall Street Journal, September 27, 2023

9.  cargurus.com, May 8. 2024

10. Runnersworld.com, May 8. 2024

Hot Dog Inflation at the Ballpark

When you hear “hot dog” and “inflation” in the same sentence, you might think of those supermarket franks that plump up when cooked. In this case, we’re talking about the original dogs of the ballpark, a cultural touchstone of America’s pastime.

The average price of a Major League Baseball (MLB) hot dog across the 30 North American ballparks is $5.99, and that’s for the lowest-priced hot dog offered at the parks. That average covers a wide range, including the $8.39 “Colossal Dog” offered at Oakland Coliseum, home of the Athletics, and a $2.99 option at Chase Field, where the Arizona Diamondbacks play.1

You’ll need to grab your passport if you’re looking for the cheapest dog in the MLB. When you take in a Toronto Blue Jays home game, you can find a $2.55 hot dog at Roger Centre.1

From the chart, you can see that seven of the top ten highest-priced dogs are for teams that may not make the playoffs. On the other hand, eight of the ten least expensive dogs are at stadiums where teams are fighting for a playoff spot.

While consumers are used to seeing a mark-up on concessions at movie theaters, concerts, and sporting events, MLB offers a relatively inexpensive option compared to the National Football League (NFL).

The average cost for a family of four is $180.54, which figures tickets, parking, beverages, and (of course) hot dogs. That range is higher in some cities, over $320 in Los Angeles (the Dodgers) or Boston (the Red Sox), and lower in others. A family can see a game for under $140 in a handful of lower-end markets: the Cincinnati Reds, Colorado Rockies, Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals, and Chicago White Sox.2

The reason for the boosted prices? Concessions play a big part in maintaining the grounds and paying for the teams. Dodgers pitcher Shohei Ohtani inked a $700 million, 10-year contract with the team. That means the Dodgers hope you show up to the game hungry!2

As the season winds down, I hope you have enjoyed a few games, whether at the ballpark or at home. At my house, the dogs always come dressed the way I like them and are considerably less expensive!

1. Sports Business Journal, May 6, 2024
2. The Street, April 12, 2024

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